Circular of the National Agricultural Technology Center of the People's Republic of China on the publication of the minutes of the spring regular meeting for the analysis of the production, supply and demand situation of crop seeds nationwide in 2020
Agricultural Seed [2020] No. 57
Seed (seed industry, agricultural technology) stations (bureaus, centers) of provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities directly under the central government, agricultural development service centers of Tianjin Municipality and Liaoning province, seed management general station of Xinjiang Production and Construction Corps, seed Administration Bureau of Heilongjiang State Administration of agricultural reclamation, seed industry administration department of Department of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, Guangdong province:
On April 20,2020, our center held the spring regular meeting of 2020 national crop seed production, supply and demand situation analysis in the form of remote network conference. The conference thoroughly studied and judged the impact of the covid-19 epidemic on seed production and management in our country, analyzed the operation situation of the spring seed market, and dispatched the seed production intention of spring and summer crops and the growth situation of autumn and winter crop seeds in the field, under the normalization of Covid-19 epidemic prevention and control and the new seed management system, the measures to do a good job in the analysis of crop seed production, supply and demand situation, market information monitoring and seed industry statistics were discussed, the tasks of the next phase are deployed. The summary of the 2020 spring meeting of the national crop seed production, supply and Demand Situation Analysis is hereby issued to you. Please implement it in light of the new situation, new requirements and the actual work in your jurisdiction.
National Center for Agricultural Technology
April 29,2020
Summary of 2020 national crop seed production, supply and Demand Situation Analysis Spring meeting
On April 20,2020, the National Agricultural Technology Center held the 2020 national crop seed production, supply and demand situation analysis spring meeting in the form of remote network conference. Focusing on the new era of ensuring seed supply safety, optimizing seed supply structure, and guiding enterprise production, the conference thoroughly studied and judged the impact of the covid-19 epidemic on seed production and management in our country, the operation situation of seed market in spring was analyzed, and the production intention of crop seeds in spring and summer and the growth situation of crop seeds in autumn and winter were scheduled, under the normalization of Covid-19 epidemic prevention and control and the new seed management system, the measures to do a good job in the analysis of crop seed production, supply and demand situation, market information monitoring and seed industry statistics were discussed, arranged and deployed the next phase of the task. Liu Xin, deputy director of the National Agricultural Technology Center, attended and delivered a speech, chief leaders of seed (seed industry and agricultural technology) stations (bureaus and centers) from Fujian, Jilin, Jiangsu, Heilongjiang, Guangxi, Inner Mongolia and Tianjin attended the meeting, more than 70 leaders, section chiefs and staffs of each province participated in the online consultation and communication. The summary is as follows:
Trend of seed demand for spring and summer crops
According to the dispatching situation in different places, the planting area of corn, rice, soybean and peanut will be increased, while the planting area of potato, cotton and spring wheat will be basically stable. The seed supply is abundant and the seed quality is good. Although the pre-epidemic prevention and control led to a delay of about half a month in the overall progress of seed sales, with the continuous improvement of the prevention and control situation, the seed market has recovered rapidly, and the current progress of crop seed sales has reached a perennial level. Soybean seed prices rose sharply, conventional rice, potatoes, peanuts rose steadily, cotton, spring wheat is basically the same as last year, hybrid rice, corn overall steady decline.
1. Corn. The seed demand of maize continued to rise. It is estimated that the planting area will increase by about 8.5 million mu this year. Among them, the East China North Spring Corn area in about 250 mu, huang-huai-hai summer corn area in about 420 mu, southwest spring corn area in about 80 million mu, northwest spring corn area in about 1 million mu. Although the demand for seeds continued to rise, the trend of supply exceeding demand of corn seeds remained unchanged. The number of varieties in the market continued to increase, the homogenization competition was fierce, and the market price was generally stable. The current national corn seed market price was 25.00 yuan per kilogram, down 1.81 percent year-on-year.
(2) hybrid rice. It is expected that the total amount of seed required will increase, but the amount of seed used for mid-season rice will decrease. Under the strong guidance of policies and measures, the area of early rice has been expanded, and the trend of“Changing from double cropping to single cropping” has been reversed. The seeds of hybrid early rice are in tight balance in Jiangxi and Hunan Provinces, the area of mid-season rice will decrease correspondingly, and the oversupply of hybrid mid-season rice seeds will increase. The average price of hybrid rice seeds nationwide was 74.18 yuan per kilogram, down 4.37 percent year-on-year, the dispatch said. The average selling price of early hybrid rice seeds was 63.18 yuan/kg, up 3.61% year-on-year, while that of mid-season hybrid rice seeds was 71.99 yuan/kg, down 6.93% year-on-year, the price of late hybrid rice seeds was 83.21 yuan per kilogram, the same as last year. Remarkably, the market demand for Yexiangyoulisi and Jiafengyou No. 2, which have won the National Gold Award for Quality Rice taste quality appraisal, is strong. The prices of their seeds are 93.57 yuan/kg and 112.74 yuan/kg, respectively, year-on-year growth ranged from 5% to 10% .
3. Soya beans. Soybean planting area is expected to increase by more than 7 million mu. Among them, Heilongjiang is expected to increase by more than 6 million mu, boosted by crop subsidies and the rapid rise in commodity soybean prices, leading the increase in some areas of Inner Mongolia. Affected by diseases and abnormal weather in recent years, the soybean yield in huang-huai-hai region is unstable, and the expected area is basically stable. Farmers in Heilongjiang and parts of Inner Heilongjiang are keen to plant and the demand for seeds has increased significantly. Currently, the price of soybean seeds in China is between 7.5-8.5 Yuan (US $8.5) per kilogram, up about 40% year-on-year.
(4) other crops. Cotton seed area is expected to be basically stable, the current cotton seed market basically ended, stable operation, prices and in previous years, lint high varieties continue to be welcomed by the market. Affected by factors such as the rise in commodity potato seed potato prices since the end of last year and the impact of the epidemic on early spring sowing in some areas, it is expected that the potato seed area is basically stable. At present, seed potato sales are basically over, and prices have risen steadily. Affected by the improvement of peanut planting efficiency last year, it is expected that the seed area will increase and the seed price will rise steadily. Spring rape, spring wheat planting area is expected to be basically stable, adequate supply of seed market, the current price is the same as in previous years. The planting area of miscellaneous grains, beans and vegetables is expected to increase slightly, and the seed market is running smoothly.
Seed production intention of crops sown in spring and summer
The scheduling shows that the planned seed production area of corn has stopped rising and has been adjusted back, the planned seed production area of soybean has continued to increase, and the planned seed production area of hybrid rice has continued to decrease, the planned breeding area of conventional rice, potato and spring wheat has been adjusted and increased, and the breeding area of cotton and spring rape is basically stable. If no large-scale extreme disasters occur, the total yield of the planned breeding area of each crop is expected to meet the demand for sowing in the spring and summer of 2021.
1. Corn. This year, the national planned seed production area is about 2.36 million mu, including 2.1 million mu of field corn, 220,000 mu of silage corn and 40,000 mu of fresh corn. The planned seed production area nationwide was 200,000 mu less than the actual seed production area last year, a decrease of 8% . The planned seed production area will be reduced by 9% in Gansu and 23% in Xinjiang, while enterprises in Heilongjiang and other provinces will increase their seed production area. The number of varieties in planned seed production continues to rise due to the need for a large number of newly approved varieties to enter the market. This year's epidemic has led to increased uncertainty in market sales, while the cost of seed production in the base has risen. After comprehensive research and judgment, most enterprises plan to produce seeds in a conservative manner. It is expected that the pressure of seed surplus will be further alleviated next year, however, attention should be paid to the variety structure and the disasters during seed production in order to prevent the occurrence of structural deficiency of seeds.
(2) hybrid rice. The national planned seed production area is 1.28 million mu, nearly 100,000 mu less than the actual seed production area last year, a decrease of 7% . Among them, the planned seed production area of early rice is 220,000 mu, an increase of 23% over last year; the planned seed production area of middle rice is 760,000 mu, it plans to produce 300,000 mu of late rice seeds, 16% less than last year. It is expected that the actual implementation of the final seed production area will be reduced. Hunan, Fujian, Sichuan, Hainan, Jiangsu, Guangxi have varying degrees of reduction, Jiangxi, Zhejiang increased. Enterprises with slow variety transformation reduced their seed production area by more than 30% , while enterprises that took the lead in taking the high-quality rice route substantially increased their planned seed production area, in addition, early rice seed enterprises should increase seed production area according to the policy trend and market demand next year.
(3) other crops. The planned soybean breeding area is 4.5 million mu nationwide, which is 790,000 mu more than the area actually harvested last year. In Heilongjiang, Shandong, Henan, Inner Mongolia and Liaoning provinces, the number of seed production programs has increased significantly. Driven by the good market demand, the area of conventional rice and potato shows a steady and slight increase. The area of conventional rice is 1.76 million mu, 2% more than that of last year It plans to plant 3.23 million mu of potatoes, an increase of 5% . Cotton is planned to be sown on 1.41 million mu, 4% less than last year, including 35,000 mu of hybrid cotton and 1.38 million mu of conventional cotton. Spring wheat will be sown on 820,000 mu, an increase of 9% . The plan is to sow 90,000 mu of spring rape, 2% less than last year's harvest. Millet, sunflower breeding area than last year's actual harvest area increased significantly, peanuts, pepper, melon basic flat, sorghum breeding area decreased.
Growth Situation of autumn and winter crop seeds in the field
The breeding and planting area of winter wheat nationwide is 11.2 million mu, which is the same as last year's breeding and harvesting area. This year, winter wheat is growing better than usual in all major producing areas. Although the risk of diseases and pests such as stripe rust and scab is moderately high, however, local governments actively responded to early warning and carried out comprehensive prevention and control, which achieved good results and further consolidated the foundation of harvest. Winter rapeseed production and seed production covered an area of 168,000 mu. Although sowing was delayed due to drought in some major producing areas during the autumn sowing period last year, the good temperature and moisture in the late stage eliminated the adverse effects in the early stage, at present, the growth of winter rape is normal in the main production areas, and the pest control of Sclerotinia sclerotiorum is in place. According to the dispatch, if there are no major natural disasters and major diseases and insect pests in the late growth stage, it is expected to produce 5 billion kg of winter wheat and 18.09 million kg of winter rapeseed, which can meet the needs of autumn and winter planting.
Iv. Arrangements and requirements for major work this year
The meeting believed that under the new situation, seed information work is becoming more and more important to the development of seed industry, and its position in the seed work system is becoming more and more prominent, and seed information work has great potential. At the same time, after the institutional reform, the work force of seed industry information has been decentralized; after the adjustment of functions, the means of submitting information has been weakened; the modernization of seed industry governance capacity requires more timely, effective, accurate and reliable seed industry information, the quality of information work is difficult to meet the needs of the industry, and the information work of seed industry faces many new challenges. The meeting urged all localities to conscientiously implement the requirements of the circular of the National Agricultural Technology Center on the publication of the minutes of the 2019 national provincial seed station chiefs meeting (agricultural seeds [2019] No. 78) , we will focus on the implementation of the task of“Strengthening the construction of the information service system for the crop seed industry.” We will do a good job in the construction of the system and stabilize the ranks of seed enterprises, refine and substantiate the specific measures of“Grasping the foundation of seed situation and consolidating the foundation of decision-making service”.
1. Strengthen the building of a contingent of qualified personnel and lay a solid foundation for long-term development. All localities should fully understand the importance of talent team construction, seriously study and formulate special training plans, increase the attention and care of seed industry information staff, and consider the current and long-term work needs as a whole, form a talent team with reasonable age echelon and lay a solid foundation for the long-term development of seed industry information work.
2. Strengthening innovation in working mechanisms and promoting efficient business operations. Local Governments should coordinate the three core businesses of seed production, supply and demand scheduling, market monitoring and seed industry statistics. Through the organic combination of the three, the development situation of the seed industry can be studied more scientifically and accurately, and the value of seed industry information can be greatly improved.
Seed production, supply and demand scheduling: first, to optimize and improve key crops, key enterprises, important base scheduling system. All localities should accurately determine the list of key crops, key enterprises and important bases, and form a complete dispatching system for key crops, key enterprises and important bases. The second is to improve the information level of analysis and dispatching. Our center is organizing the optimization and upgrading of the supply and demand system, accelerating the development of the base management system. All parts of the country should seriously study, put forward constructive suggestions, and actively participate in the test work. Third, we must vigorously strengthen the capacity-building of comprehensive analysis and judgment. All localities should improve the three-line scheduling mechanism of system, enterprise and base scheduling, set up seed production expert group and market expert group, and continuously improve the comprehensive research and judgment ability of supply and demand scheduling.
Seed market monitoring: first, to continue to optimize the monitoring network layout. All localities should incorporate the seed business with large sales scale, strong regional representation, strong development stamina and enthusiastic public welfare into the monitoring system, and continuously improve the regional coverage and crop coverage of observation points. Second, we should further standardize the management of observation points. All localities should strictly standardize the record management, performance management and listing management of seed market observation points. Third, we must vigorously improve the effectiveness of observation points monitoring. All localities should push the information with high business value to the observation points in time, and at the same time, effectively improve the enthusiasm of the observation points by issuing information collection fees, issuing plaques and other means. Fourth, to strengthen the monitoring of information release and publicity. All localities should compile and issue seed information bulletins in a timely manner at critical periods, actively promote the release of seed market information in real time, and guide seed production and management.
Seed industry statistics: first, to master the overall situation. All localities should have a clear idea of the institutional reform within their jurisdictions and the size of the enterprises. The second is to highlight the focus of the audit. All localities should rank the enterprises in their jurisdiction according to crop sales, and conduct key audits on key enterprises, key reports and key indicators. Third, we must pay attention to research and verification. All localities should verify the key indicators of key enterprises online and offline to ensure that the statistical data are accurate, true and reliable. Fourth, strengthen comprehensive research and judgment. All localities should make use of supply and demand dispatch and market monitoring information to strengthen comparative analysis and draw realistic conclusions.
3. Strengthen the coordination of information work to ensure that the whole country plays a unified game of chess. To establish the seed industry information must be“A game of chess, a game of chess” concept of work, the Ministry of five-level Co-ordination Linkage, unified planning, collaborative work to promote. The provincial level is the key center, the main leaders should personally promote, the leaders in charge should focus on, the business departments should have a clear division of labor, promote the synchronous linkage at the grass-roots level, implement layer by layer, and form an efficient work promotion and incentive transmission mechanism. At the same time, local governments should strengthen the mining, analysis and utilization of seed industry information, produce more seed industry information products according to the needs of the industry, meet the diverse needs of all parties in the seed industry, and continuously improve the level of seed industry information services.